Research article
Peramalan penjualan roti kenari arjuns bakery di Kota Ternate Provinsi Maluku Utara
Abstract
Pada penelitian ini bertujuan untuk mempelajari Pola penjualan roti kenari yang di produksi oleh perusahaan Arjuns Bakery dan mengetahui peramalan roti kenari terbaik dengan menggunakan time serial untuk 3 bualan mendatang. Metode yang digunakan adalah metode time serial dengan menggunakan simple Average, Moving Average dan Simple Eksponensial Smoothing. Hasil penelitian menunjukkan bahawa pola penjualan roti kenari bersifat stasioner atau horisontal, dimana pergerakan data penjualan berada di sekitar rata-rata penjualan roti selama satu tahun sembilan bulan. Nilai peramalan yang diperoleh dengan menggunakan metode time serial adalah Simple Average dengan nilai peramalan 8060 dengan SE 572.84, Moving Average 7713 dengan nilai SE 558.72 yang dianggap baik untuk meramalkan penjualan roti untuk tiga bulan mendatang adalah metode Simple Eksponensial Smoothing dengan nilai peramalan penjualan roti kenari sebesar 7759 buah, dengan nilai SE sebesar 555.03.
Keywords
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Funding Information
UMMU
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Bibliographic Information
Cite this article as:
-
Submitted
6 July 2013 -
Revised
5 November 2018 -
Accepted
Not available -
Published
10 October 2013 -
Issue date
13 October 2013
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Discipline(s)
Pertanian
Keywords
Copyright
RuslanLaisouw, FMIPA UMMU Ternate . Universitas Muhammadiyah Maluku Utara, Ternate, Indonesia. laisouwR@gmail.com
Hamka, FAPERTA UMMU Ternate . Unievrsitas Muhammadiyah Maluku Utara, Ternate, Indonesia. hamka_agb@yahoo.co.id
Copyright © 2013 The Authors. Sangia Research Media and Publishing. Production and hosting by Sangia (SRM™). This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.
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